We do the math.
You just look for
the shiny badges.
Four focused apps. Sixty-five analysis systems. When a quarterback, a fighter, a horse, or a starting pitcher hits one, you get a badge. Stack them up to find an edge.
/// LAUNCH AN APP
Each app refreshes on its own schedule
The week's slate. Markets, badges, TD Radar.
Daily slate badges. Auto-refreshing every 60s.
UFC matchup analysis. Two events on deck.
Race-by-race picks. Three tracks live now.
/// THE PITCH
Stats are noisy.
Badges aren’t.
WE CRUNCH THE SLATE
Every fight, every race, every game — pulled from the official sources and run through the model.
SYSTEMS TRIGGER
When a QB, fighter, horse, or starter passes a system’s threshold, a badge lights up. No badge, no signal.
INSTANT ANALYSIS
Open the app, scroll the card, follow the badges. One badge is interesting. Three is a real signal.
/// EVERY BADGE WE HUNT
Sixty-five edges,
fully named.
Hover any badge to see what it means. The gold ones are the ones you really want stacking up.
NFL SYSTEMS
28 systems · Market · Stats · SocialSpread moved a full point+ off its opener (or a fast burst). The side the line moved toward is the money side.
Tickets pile on one side but the line moves the other way — the book is respecting sharper money.
Spread crossed 3 or 7. Books defend key numbers — paying to move through one is a statement.
One book posts a spread a point off market consensus. Stale or sharp — either way, grab it.
Game total moved 1.5+ from the opener. Totals move on real information.
65%+ of tickets on one side and the book won't budge — it likes the unpopular side.
Moneyline and spread imply different win probabilities. One market is mispriced.
Net EPA/play edge of 0.10+ — about a score of hidden margin the records may not show.
Defense stuffs the run but leaks through the air. QB and receiver props play up.
Defense locks up the pass but gets gashed on the ground. RB props play up.
3+ extra rest days. Mini-byes still carry value; the famous off-the-bye edge is overbet — we say so.
Divisional underdog getting 6.5+. Familiarity compresses big division spreads.
Night game, 47+ total. Honesty box: ~50/50 since 2017 — context only, unless wind or steam confirms.
15+ mph sustained at an outdoor stadium. Deep balls and field goals die — under lean.
Wind plus rain, snow, or brutal cold with a 44+ total. The market under-adjusts.
Two efficient offenses indoors with the total under 47. Perfect conditions outrun the number.
High-penalty referee crew. Flags extend drives and nudge games over.
Low-penalty crew: fewer free first downs, faster games. Quiet under lean.
Point differential says a team is better than the spread's framing. Margins beat records.
A starting QB is Out or Doubtful — the only position worth multiple points of spread.
A player clears the TD Radar threshold — elite anytime-touchdown equity for this slate.
Modeled first-TD probability beats the market at the best available price.
TD Radar probability beats the no-vig market number by 7+ points. Positive EV.
High-volume player aimed at a funnel defense — matchup and workload agree.
28%+ target share or 0.65+ WOPR. Volume is the most predictive stat in props.
70%+ of the tracked expert panel on the same side this week.
Money % runs 15+ points above ticket % — few, big bets on one side. Follow the dollars.
72%+ of tickets on one side with no confirming line move. Fade the crowd.
FIGHT SYSTEMS
9 systems · UFCHeavy favorite (-150+) who finishes 50%+ of their wins. Look for KO/TKO or Submission props.
3+ years younger than opponent. Better cardio, speed, and recovery on the night.
3"+ reach edge. Better distance management, jab effectiveness, and harder to close on.
Favorable style matchup — striker w/ TDD vs grappler, or wrestler vs poor TDD.
15%+ higher career win rate. Reflects overall fighter quality and consistency.
More active recently than opponent. 12+ month layoffs cause timing issues.
Combined striking + takedown defense 10%+ better. Harder to hit, harder to take down.
1.5+ more sig strikes per minute. Higher output controls rounds and piles up damage.
Underdog with more systems in their favor than the favorite. The line may be mispriced.
MLB BADGES
21 systems · BaseballStarting pitcher's season ERA is 1.0+ runs better than the opponent's (50+ IP min).
Starter strikes out 10+ batters per 9. Suppresses contact and boosts strikeout-prop equity.
Opposing bullpen has thrown 14+ IP in last 3 days (league norm ~11). Late-game arms are gassed.
Team OPS over the last 10 games is .800 or better. Lineup is locked in.
Lineup OPS vs the starter's hand is 80+ pts better than vs the other hand.
Hitter-friendly venue (PF 105+) with wind blowing out 8+ mph. Carry-the-ball weather.
Home team wins 60%+ at home, road team wins under 45% on the road.
Team played a late game and traveled 2+ time zones for an early start. Jet lag fade.
Underdog has 3+ system badges in their favor — the line may be mispriced.
K/9 ≥ 11, WHIP ≤ 1.05, ERA ≤ 2.50 — Cy Young-grade peripherals. Strikeout props.
Moneyline favorite at -200 or shorter — the runline (-1.5) is usually the better number.
Dog at +130 to +180 whose starter has a real ERA edge over the favorite.
Hitter park, wind blowing out 8+ mph, and a total posted at 8.5 or lower. Lean Over.
Pitcher park, no carry wind, 9+ total, and a sub-3.50 ERA starter. Lean Under.
One team underperforming its run differential vs an overperforming opponent. Records lie; run diffs don't.
Starter's shiny ERA is 0.75+ runs better than his FIP — batted-ball luck due for regression. Fade.
One starter clearly outgrades the other on ERA/WHIP/K9. First-5-innings lines cut the bullpen out.
Day game after a night game while the opponent rested — short-rest lineups sit stars and lose power.
Run-diff + starter-quality win probability beats the moneyline by 6+ points. Model vs market.
Moneyline moved 2.5+ implied points off today's opening number. Follow the sharp money.
Dinger Radar has a batter above the alert threshold — HR prop targets on the matchup page.
TRAX BADGES
7 edges · Horse racingWin rate ≥15% over the last 12 months.
Trainer career win rate ≥18%. Big stables on a heater.
In-the-money rate ≥40%. Pays show even when they don't win.
Carrying <118 lbs. Pace and finish advantage on the wire.
Speed figure ≤16 — among the fastest in the field.
Speed figures trending faster across the last 5 races.
Had a top figure, dipped, and is showing signs of returning to form.